Using webinars to extend the reach of soil learning in New South Wales: A first look

Increasingly knowledge is shared using new web‐based channels. The use of these channels is relatively new in the realm of soil science. However, they may prove to be very useful for connecting time‐poor, geographically dispersed audiences in an efficient and cost‐effective way. There has been limited study of this form of knowledge sharing for natural science (let alone soil science). In New South Wales (NSW), Australia, the NSW Department of Primary Industries (NSW DPI) has coordinated the Soil Network of Knowledge (SNoK) monthly webinar over 3 years, with over 40 webinars targeting an audience of next users of soil information. Aggregated data collected from these webinars indicated that the majority of information is used for professional development by participants. Whether this will eventually lead to on‐ground practice change because of the improved professional and technical knowledge of participants is still a moot point and will require further investigation over time. The information collected on attendance and participation showed that webinars are a good way to connect with some target audiences such as other government bodies that have a historical relationship with NSW DPI. However, other target audiences that NSW DPI has always found difficulty in engaging, such as private advisers, require more active overtures to drive participation. The growing subscriber base is encouraging.     

Performance and uncertainty analysis of a short-term climate reconstruction based on multi-source data in the Tianshan Mountains region,China

Short-term climate reconstruction, i.e., the reproduction of short-term(several decades) historical climatic time series based on the relationship between observed data and available longer-term reference data in a certain area, can extend the length of climatic time series and offset the shortage of observations. This can be used to assess regional climate change over a much longer time scale. Based on monthly grid climate data from a Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 5(CMIP5) dataset for the period of 1850–2000, the Climatic Research Unit(CRU) dataset for the period of 1901–2000 and the observed data from 53 meteorological stations located in the Tianshan Mountains region(TMR) of China during the period of 1961–2011, we calibrated and validated monthly average temperature(MAT) and monthly accumulated precipitation(MAP) in the TMR using the delta, physical scaling(SP) and artificial neural network(ANN) methods. Performance and uncertainty during the calibration(1971–1999) and verification(1961–1970) periods were assessed and compared using traditional performance indices and a revised set pair analysis(RSPA) method. The calibration and verification processes were subjected to various sources of uncertainty due to the influence of different reconstructed variables, different data sources, and/or different methods used. According to traditional performance indices, both the CRU and CMIP5 datasets resulted in satisfactory calibrated and verified MAT time series at 53 meteorological stations and MAP time series at 20 meteorological stations using the delta and SP methods for the period of 1961–1999. However, the results differed from those obtained by the RSPA method. This showed that the CRU dataset produced a low degree of uncertainty(positive connection degree) during the calibration and verification of MAT using the delta and SP methods compared to the CMIP5 dataset. Overall, the calibrated and verified MAP had a high degree of uncertainty(negative connection degree) regardless of the dataset or reconstruction method used. Therefore, the reconstructed time series of MAT for the period of 1850(or 1901)–1960 based on the CRU and CMIP5 datasets using the delta and SP methods could be used for further study. The results of this study will be useful for short-term(several decades) regional climate reconstruction and longer-term(100 a or more) assessments of regional climate change.     

基于供应网络能力研究框架分析我国乡村旅游供应链发展现状

游客需求的多样化、旅游目的地功能强化、信息技术影响加剧都在表明传统的旅游模式已经 无法再满足的客户的需求与市场的变化，旅游供应链的构建与优化是发展旅游业的大势所趋。本文 将借助供应网络能力的研究框架，从网络定位、网络构造、网络管理三个方面分析我国旅游供应链的 发展现状。     

基于SegNet模型的高原鼠兔的图像分割

针对高原鼠兔图像目标尺寸小、背景复杂、特征不显著、基于活动轮廓的图像分割模型无法有效分割的问题，采用基于卷积神经网络的SegNet语义模型对高原鼠兔图像进行分割：首先将采集的高原鼠兔图像进行预处理，尺度归一化后制作成与Pascal VOC数据集格式一致的数据集；然后将数据集分为训练集与测试集，采用训练集对SegNet模型训练，测试集对模型进行分割测试。对高原鼠兔图像分割的试验结果表明：与基于活动轮廓的Chan_Vese模型相比，基于卷积神经网络的SegNet模型对高原鼠兔图像分割时的交并比、平均像素精度、Dice相似性指数和Jaccard指数分别提高了68.33%、9.35%、30.61%和47.98%，过分割率和欠分割率分别降低了87.20%、16.52%。     

基于PLSR-BP复合模型的红壤有机质含量反演研究

对红壤地区土壤有机质进行快速预测,以满足智慧农业与精准施肥的需要。以江西省奉新县北部为研究区域,采用1 km×1 km标准格网划分研究区进行采样,共得到红壤样本248个。对土壤光谱进行了包含分数阶导数在内的3种数学变换方法,将经过P=0.01显著性检验的波段用于模型的构建,选用偏最小二乘回归(PLSR)和BP神经网络建立土壤有机质含量预测模型。结果表明:当对红壤光谱数据进行1.5阶导数变换后再使用PLSR-BP复合模型对土壤有机质含量进行预测时的结果为最优,训练集R~2=0.89,RMSE=4.68g·kg~(-1),验证集R~2=0.87,RMSE=5.55g·kg~(-1),RPD=2.75。1.5阶导数对红壤光谱数据的变换能够更好地突出与有机质相关的特征信息,有助于其含量预测。PLSR-BP复合模型预测精度优于单一模型,能够较好地预测红壤有机质含量,为精准农业快速监测红壤有机质含量提供了新的途径。     

基于卷积神经网络的小麦产量预估方法

小麦产量是评估农业生产力的重要指标之一,针对小麦产量人工预估困难,提出将卷积神经网络运用于小麦产量预估,为农业生产力的预估提供参考,指导农业生产管理决策。利用无人机分别在河南省新乡、漯河两地进行图片采集,并以之构建麦穗数据集,分为正样本(麦穗)和负样本(叶子和背景)。针对小麦常规的生理形态和生长环境,设计卷积神经网络识别模型,以图像金字塔构建多尺度滑动窗口,以非极大值抑制(NMS)去除重叠率较高的目标框,实现对单位面积内麦穗的计数,并利用随机采样的方式对大田麦穗进行单位面积图像采样,以采样图像中麦穗数量的平均值作为产量预估基准,进一步实现麦穗产量预估。随机抽取100幅不同小麦图片进行测试,与人工计数结果进行对比,准确率达到97.30%,漏检率为0.34%,误检率为2.36%,误差率为2.70%。试验结果表明,此方法能够克服环境中的多种噪声干扰,能够在不同光照条件下对麦穗进行计数和产量预估。     

基于卷积神经网络的玉米病害识别方法研究

为解决传统的玉米病害识别方法中特征提取主观性强及误识率高的问题,提出利用卷积神经网络对玉米病害进行识别。以玉米病害图像和健康图像共5种类别的玉米图像为研究对象,并采用LeNet模型进行试验。首先,按照8∶2的比例为每种玉米病害图像选择训练集和测试集。然后,通过试验组合和对比分析的方法比较不同卷积神经网络结构设置对准确率的影响,选出最佳参数。另外,选用Adam算法代替SGD算法来优化模型,通过指数衰减法调整学习率,将L2正则项添加到交叉熵函数中,并选择Dropout策略和ReLU激励函数。最后,确定了一个10层CNN网络结构。试验结果显示,玉米花叶病、灰斑病、锈病、叶斑病和玉米健康识别率分别为95.83%、90.57%、100%、93.75%、100%,平均识别率达96%,平均计算时间为0.15 s。经试验结果比较,该模型识别效果明显高于传统方法,为玉米病害的防治提供技术支持。     

基于BP神经网络的柴油发动机特性建模

建立连续的发动机燃油特性和调速特性数学模型作为液压机械无级变速器虚拟试验平台的动力源。根据虚拟平台对不同特性区域的精度需求对柴油发动机不同特性区域的试验数据进行不同的密度选取、乱序和归一化处理,采用单隐层BP神经网络对试验数据进行训练,对比不同隐层节点数网络的训练误差和测试误差,选取误差最小的网络,求解出网络的数学表达式。通过该方法以ISLe310柴油发动机为例建立燃油特性和调速特性的连续数学模型,这两个简单的数学表达式准确反映了发动机万有特性和外特性,连续模型避免了虚拟试验中出现信号的突变和奇异点。通过和经典的最小二乘法拟合得到的最优特性模型进行对比,其具有更小的误差、更强的泛化能力,能够更好地反映柴油发动机的相关特性。